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Oil energy futures speculation drives rising cost

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Oil energy futures speculation drives rising cost

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Old 07-09-2008, 09:37 AM   #41 (permalink)
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Default Re: Oil energy futures speculation drives rising cost

Originally Posted by redviking View Post
I agree w/ most of what you are saying. However, oil prices are not perfectly inelastic. Double the price of gas and there will still be some response, even if it is minimal. I also don't see $4 as the magic cut off point where demand suddenly changes - it is more graduated.
Perfectly inelastic goods really only exist in theory, but oil/gas is probably as close to an inelastic good as exists today (at least in the US).
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Old 07-10-2008, 05:12 PM   #42 (permalink)
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Default Re: Oil energy futures speculation drives rising cost

Originally Posted by skipster View Post

Speculators CAN'T run up the price because they still must think about the spot price when the contract comes due.
I received this email from United today.


An Open letter to All Airline Customers:

Our country is facing a possible sharp economic downturn because of skyrocketing oil and fuel prices, but by pulling together, we can all do something to help now.

For airlines, ultra-expensive fuel means thousands of lost jobs and severe reductions in air service to both large and small communities. To the broader economy, oil prices mean slower activity and widespread economic pain. This pain can be alleviated, and that is why we are taking the extraordinary step of writing this joint letter to our customers. Since high oil prices are partly a response to normal market forces, the nation needs to focus on increased energy supplies and conservation. However, there is another side to this story because normal market forces are being dangerously amplified by poorly regulated market speculation.

Twenty years ago, 21 percent of oil contracts were purchased by speculators who trade oil on paper with no intention of ever taking delivery. Today, oil speculators purchase 66 percent of all oil futures contracts, and that reflects just the transactions that are known. Speculators buy up large amounts of oil and then sell it to each other again and again. A barrel of oil may trade 20-plus times before it is delivered and used; the price goes up with each trade and consumers pick up the final tab. Some market experts estimate that current prices reflect as much as $30 to $60 per barrel in unnecessary speculative costs.

Over seventy years ago, Congress established regulations to control excessive, largely unchecked market speculation and manipulation. However, over the past two decades, these regulatory limits have been weakened or removed. We believe that restoring and enforcing these limits, along with several other modest measures, will provide more disclosure, transparency and sound market oversight. Together, these reforms will help cool the over-heated oil market and permit the economy to prosper.

The nation needs to pull together to reform the oil markets and solve this growing problem.

We need your help. Get more information and contact Congress by visiting www.StopOilSpeculationNow.com.



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The oil companies are in on nthe game. They too are buying into the hedges and when the price goes up they sell for a profit, then buy back in for delivery and you and I pay that price in the retail mark up. Buying playing with the game, they are profiting on the side from hedging while being able to hold the ultimate cost in the retail pricing structure.

Gasoline retailers aren't making any profit on a gallon than what they make at $2 or $3 at retail, so where then are the oil companies making the profit...buying playing the hedging game. It's one of the ways Enron make billions, buying and selling the paper. Big oil can do it better because if they get stuck holding the barrel when the price falls, then can still use it, unlike you and I that has to sell.
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Old 07-10-2008, 05:33 PM   #43 (permalink)
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Default Re: Oil energy futures speculation drives rising cost

Ryou,

Did you really receive that from United? That's a shame. I guess the airlines have nothing to lose. Airlines and utilities are the worst run businesses in the US, in my opinion. There are so many things wrong with the airline industry and they blame high oil prices? All those airline executives should be ashamed of themselves.
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