Of the first two rounds, yeah, it's got to be Perry. Smith and Caldwell have actually scored fewer points "so far," because they hadn't wrestled until this weekend, but it certainly looks like they will wind up better picks.
Second place might be Quentin Wright, but that's a bit harder to say. He wasn't close to meeting expectations before he got hurt. He some pins, but didn't beat anyone all that good and looked pretty shaky in some of his wins. Since he was hurt, it's tough to say how he'll be when he gets back.