He said in an interview that he's improving a lot, but it will be a very tough lineup to crack. Others are improving too, and the Iowa wrestling room is an intense place these days. With various injuries and varying degrees of summer improvement, next season's wrestle-offs could be very interesting.
Others know better than I do, but I would guess that Marion would have a better shot than one of the incoming freshmen. It's a huge step from high school to college wrestling.