Good Stuff !
Nice writeup VA, these are always fun to read. Its important to realize that early season predictions are always way off target, no matter who does them nor on what site they're posted. Because of illness, injury, ineligibility, weight changes, bad tournament and match ups, upsets, guys coming out of nowhere, etc, they are inaccurate.
Last year JensenS did a preseason guesstimate which picked 60% of the eventual AA's and 16% of the eventual placers. The 60% AA's was better than most other sites preseason predictions, while the 16% was about on average. There are too many unknown variables to do any better. I didn't analyze the mid-season nor the pretournament predictions but I think they would show improvement.
"He beat nobodies..Thorn at 133 won't be great, R12 or worse imo...
I just don't see it...David Thorn is not elite. I don't think he'll place"
To avoid criticism say nothing, do nothing, be nothing.