I think you're underselling Ramos and his performance against Oliver. Ramos was in deep more than Oliver was. Oliver got 0 takedowns, and only threatened once, in the 1st period. Ramos was in deep 3 times, finished once and very nearly finished the second time. It's not like Ramos was tying Oliver up and slowing him down. They were both working in space and in tight, and Ramos was shooting. He was just the better wrestler, at least that day. That said, I'm picking Oliver to repeat in the end. I haven't seen any reason to pick Stieber definitively over Ramos yet (or the other way around, to be fair), but it seems like most people are pretty much assuming Stieber > Ramos.