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Thread: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: All Weights & Team Scores Posted

  1. #37

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 157 Posted

    165

    Illinois
    Conrad Polz: Polz is a guy who in this same thread last year I had tabbed as the guy who was going to be the best freshman at this weight class during the coming season. It didn't quite work out that way for him. He moved around in weight spending time both here at 165 and down at 157. He just struggled, there really isn't another way to say it. He came out this summer though and had a great freestyle run including pulling upsets over Chris Spangler, Derek St. John, David Taylor, and Ethan Lofthouse to make the Junior World team. Seeing how he carries that momentum into this coming season will be very interesting.

    Indiana
    Paul Young: Young came out last year and was one of those guys who had a really stellar yet really underrated kind of year. He spent most of his time ranked in the 10-12 range. I almost hate to characterize him like this because it diminishes from the fact that he is really good but he was almost kind of a gate keeper to the elite guys at this weight last year. If you were good enough to beat Young you were good enough to be a contender for the National Title here last year. Young literally had no bad losses last year (unless you want to count his loss to Schmelyun when Schmelyun caught fire at the Scuffle). He beat everyone that he was supposed to beat and then his 9 losses were all to guys who were in the mix for All American and National title. Wrestled Howe to one of his closest matches over the second half of last year.

    Iowa
    Jake Kerr: Kerr spent most of last year embroiled in a struggle for the 157 pound spot for the Hawkeyes with Aaron Jannsen and it seems like the two are going to be doing the same thing this year only at 165 instead. I've given Kerr the nod here for the time being since he was the guy wrestling for the Hawkeyes at Big 10's and NCAA's last year and because his biggest hinderance last year was getting his weight down to 157. Now that he's up at a more comfortable position he's a guy that could definitely have a big year. Best known for his upset over Cyler Sanderson in Carver Hawkeye last year.

    Michigan
    Dan Yates: Yates is yet another good wrestler for Michigan who redshirted last year and we didn't see really any of as a result. He's a guy who really broke out at the end of his high school career and was to the point that he was the #1 or #2 guy in the country at his weight class. One thing working in his favor is that his brother Peter was a guy who came in and made a big splash immediately for Virginia Tech so he's got that connection. He's a guy who I may be underrating.

    Michigan State
    Ben Boudro: This is basically going to be a verbatim repeat of what I wrote here for Boudro last year. The thing I know him best for is that his brother RJ was a 174 for the Spartans a few years ago. He was in the line up here last year and he struggled.

    Minnesota
    Cody Yohn: Possibility exists that this might be redshirt freshman Alec Ortiz but for now I'll keep Yohn listed here at this spot. Yohn spent some time early last year at 174 for the Gophers while Glasser was banged up and then eventually dropped down to 165 when Deitchler was declared ineligible and the decision was made for Dustin Schlatter to move down to 157. It took him a little while to get his feet under him but he made it to NCAA's where he wrestled pretty well going 2-2 I believe.

    Northwestern
    Robert Kellogg: Kellogg steps in for his third year in the Wildcat line up and second year down here at this weight class. He had a tough season last year and given that the weight clears out a little this year he's a guy who you may see improve. Even with some of the guys from last year gone its not like they're being replaced by bad wrestlers.

    Ohio State
    Tony Jameson: Jameson is fit to continue his seemingly epic move up in weight this coming season as his continued growth coupled with the desire to get him into the line up is supposedly one of the reasons why Sponseller and Nemec moved down. He's a guy who wrestles a wide open very exciting style and its something that has really endeared him to Ohio State fans. His problem is last year that style would get a little too wide open at times and it would lead to inconsistent match results.

    Penn State
    Jake Kemerer: Like Jake Deitchler, Kemerer comes in this year with 4 full years of eligibility after having that status sitting kind of up in the air over most of last season. Burst onto the scene last year when he beat eventual NCAA finalist Dan Vallimont in Penn State's wrestle offs. Was solid during redshirt matches and during freestyle matches this spring. Didn't go undefeated or anything but looked solid enough.

    Purdue
    Kyle Mosier: Mosier is one of those guys scattered through out line ups who I've never heard of. He's in a tough weight class here so it'll be interesting to see what kind of success he's able to find.

    Wisconsin
    Andrew Howe: Given that Andrew Howe is coming off a season where he was an undefeated National Champion and then went out and won US Nationals a few weeks later I'm feeling pretty good about predicting another pretty solid season for him. He came out last year and looked markedly better at transitioning from his hand fighting to getting to his leg attacks which was an occasional problem as a freshman. Still gets away from everyone and is still solid enough on top to get riding time when he needs it although he doesn't turn many top level guys.

    Best Freshman
    Jake Kemerer: Kind of an easy pick here in my opinion. Like I mentioned above all he did last year was beat the eventual NCAA runner up in a wrestle off. Great situation in Happy Valley for him with Molinaro and Taylor in the weight below him and Ed Ruth who we'll get to occupying the weight above him. Definite AA potential here.

    Most Improved
    Conrad Polz: Like I said above, second year in a row that I've got Polz listed under one of these superlatives. He should definitely come into this season wrestling with a lot of confidence based off his freestyle success. The one question you have or at least I have is that he did score a lot of counter exposure points and those obviously don't translate to folkstyle. He has a solid folkstyle pedigree coming out of Illinois though and I think that shines through this coming season.

    Conference Final
    Andrew Howe v. Paul Young

    Full
    1. Andrew Howe
    2. Paul Young
    3. Jake Kemerer
    4. Conrad Polz
    5. Jake Kerr
    6. Cody Yohn
    7. Dan Yates
    8. Tony Jameson
    9. Robert Kellogg
    10. Ben Boudro
    11. Kyle Mosier

    NCAA Qualifiers: Howe, Young, Kemerer, Polz, Kerr, Yohn

  2. #38

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 165 Posted

    JensenS, Thanks for posting these...summer is very long, but November is coming.

  3. #39

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 165 Posted

    Not a problem. Like I always say I enjoy doing these things.

    174

    Here we have a weight that due to one big variable (which I'll get to) became pretty hard to put together.

    Illinois
    Jordan Blanton: I came into last year predicting Blanton to be one of the most improved guys in the country last year. Wrestling as a true freshman he's a guy who showed that he was strong and he was aggressive but wasn't always there in terms of technique. I'd dubbed him Phil Keddy v. 1.5. Despite my prediction for the majority of the year he wrestled kind of inconsistent. He was basically the same guy as he was when he was a freshman. Still very strong (even more so down at a lower weight class) still aggressive, still beat guys up, but still didn't win some of the matches that you thought he should. To his credit though he got himself up onto the podium at the end of the year spurred by two big wins over Ben Bennett. I like him to carry that momentum to a more consistent regular season and an eventual Big 10 championship.

    Indiana
    Ryan LeBlanc: LeBlanc came out last year and was just stellar as a redshirt. 20+ wins wrestling all over the place and only one or two losses one of them coming by default to his teammate Paul Young in the MSU finals when I think (if I recall correctly) he defaulted in the match instead of taking a co-champion award so that Young could have the top step to himself. I think I may have him underrated here a little bit based off of his season last year. He's a guy who can definitely move up from where I've got him it'll just be interesting to see how he carries on against larger opponents.

    Iowa
    Ethan Lofthouse: Lofthouse is a guy who comes in this year as someone who Hawkeye fans are really excited to see based off his redshirt results last year and his freestyle performances this spring. Last year he announced himself when he split matches with Scott Glasser at the UNO tournament and then while he didn't really have a headline win like that over the rest of the year he continued to wrestle well. This spring he won FILA Juniors in a bracket that included both his teammate St. John and David Taylor. He seemed well on his way to making the Junior World team before becoming Conrad Polz's final victim during his great upset run. Has a nice little preexisting rivalry dating back to high school with Ed Ruth so it should be interesting to see those two renew that during the course of this coming year.

    Michigan
    Justin Zeerip: Zeerip was much improved last year after getting the move up in weight that he desperately needed after a wildly inconsistent freshman year. He's not going to be a guy who wows you or really blows people away he just grinds away at his opponents and last year was able to just win.

    Michigan State
    Curran Jacobs: Unfortunately like most of Michigan State's roster Jacobs is a guy who I don't really know a ton about.

    Minnesota
    Scott Glasser: That variable that I spoke about earlier, Mr. Scott Glasser is it. Based off the stretch from his second match at the Southern Scuffle (first consolation match after losing to Moricone) up until his first round match at NCAA's (where he'd lose to Jarion Beets) where he went 21-3 putting up numerous quality wins and only losing to Jay Borschel I could very easily pick him to win the conference here and have it be eminently justifiable. The only thing that is stopping me is the fact that I wonder if he can stay healthy again for a long enough period of time in order to go on a similar run like that one. If he's able to do that he's got as good a shot as anyone in the entire country to be the guy standing across from Mack Lewnes next March and I certainly hope he's able to. As it is I've got him 3rd now based off of those concerns and the fact that I think the young guys who I've already talked about break out this year.

    Northwestern
    Brian Roddy: Roddy was a guy who came out last year as someone who I was really interested to see based off his pedigree coming out of high school but he had some issues. He wound up around .500 for the year. The possibility is definitely there for him to move up through the middle ranks here at this weight.

    Ohio State
    Nick Heflin: I feel like I may be missing something here with Heflin as he's the one Ohio State new guy who I've never really heard of or seen any results for.

    Penn State:
    Ed Ruth: Like Glasser and his health, Ed Ruth has one big variable that will really affect how his season plays out. He is going to be a very large 174 pounder. He spent all of last year wrestling at 184 in Opens and even this spring in freestyle he spent some or all of his time wrestling up at 84 kilos. If he's able to keep his weight under control the sky really is the limit for him here. Great pedigree coming out of Pennsylvania and then spending his senior year at Blair. Strong, athletic. Then he has an unreal room situation with guys like Kemerer, Quentin Wright, Troy Letters, Jake Varner, and not to mention Cael Sanderson in the room every day. If I recall correctly he's actually got the edge in terms of record in his rivalry with Lofthouse so like I said it should be fun to see those two.

    Purdue:
    Luke Manuel: Those of you who have been around here long enough know that one of the phrases that I like to beat into the ground (others may include ________ is a guy, and announced himself) is "sneaky good" and Luke Manuel is a guy who last year really epitomized the term sneaky good. Moving up after a pretty inconsistent sophomore year (and I wound know given that I had him on my Fantasy team) he was 36-2 going into Big 10's last year. Go back and look at that record again. Purdue doesn't wrestle the greatest schedule in the world but he was beating good wrestlers over that stretch including a couple of wins over Colby Covington and a pair over Blanton.

    Wisconsin
    Ben Jordan: Maybe the most interesting guy in terms of possible results in the entire weight class. Steps way up here to 174 after a redshirt year, he was down at 157 for the Badgers as a true freshman where he was decent but I don't know if he performed up to the level of what people thought and he certainly could have been over shadowed by the NCAA runner up performance of fellow true freshman Andrew Howe that same season. The situation that he has in his room with Howe, Donny Pritzlaff, and Jared Frayer coupled with the family that he comes from leaves him as someone who could definitely be a sleeper at this weight. Like LeBlanc the one thing you wonder about though is an adjustment wrestling against these larger athletes.

    Most Improved
    Jordan Blanton: It makes it sound so easy to say all he needs to do is clean up his technique a little bit but that literally is all that he needs to do. Like I said before he's strong, he's quick, and he's got a great mind set to be a dominating successful wrestler at this level. The All American finish at the end of the year last year gives him some momentum to build on coming into this year. Even if his technique doesn't clean up the confidence boost that he gleans from that should be enough to carry him through to another good year.

    Best Freshman
    Ethan Lofthouse: It'll be him or Ruth. The fact that you know Lofthouse has his weight under control (to the point that he was able to make 163 this summer) leads me right now to think that its going to be him. Definitely has some big shoes to fill in NCAA champion Jay Borschel but I think he's able to pull it off.

    Conference Final
    Jordan Blanton v. Ethan Lofthouse

    Full
    1. Jordan Blanton
    2. Ethan Lofthouse
    3. Scott Glasser
    4. Luke Manuel
    5. Ed Ruth
    6. Ben Jordan
    7. Ryan LeBlanc
    8. Justin Zeerip
    9. Brian Roddy
    10. Nick Heflin
    11. Curran Jacobs

    NCAA Qualifiers: Blanton, Lofthouse, Glasser, Manuel, Ruth, Jordan, LeBlanc, Zeerip

  4. #40
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    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 165 Posted

    Quote Originally Posted by JensenS View Post
    Ohio State
    Nick Heflin: I feel like I may be missing something here with Heflin as he's the one Ohio State new guy who I've never really heard of or seen any results for.
    Heflin had a very good redshirt year and I think the staff is extremely pleased with what they've seen from him. He won the NCO in a weight class that included Dan Yates. At University Nationals, he was rolling and actually scored the first takedown and a pushout against Quentin Wright. He injured his chest/shoulder in that match though, so he hasn't competed since. I'm not sure if he'll be at 174 or 184, but I expect a solid freshman campaign from him.


  5. #41

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 174 Posted

    Like I said he's a guy who I'm not really familiar with in a weight class that is filled with pretty quality guys.

    For what its worth I've got Capone ranked up a little higher primarily as a result of 184 not being quite as loaded.

  6. #42
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    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 174 Posted

    Out of the two, I would expect a better year from Heflin. But like you said, 174 is rather deep. Anyway, I don't have a problem making freshman earn respect on the national scene, just thought I'd give the little insight I have.


  7. #43

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 174 Posted

    Much appreciated as always.

  8. #44

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 174 Posted

    174 is sort of like a watered down 157. Lots up in the air with lots of unknown variables. Just a little less talent.(in my opinion)

    From all reports Lofthouse seemingly is going to be a good one. How hard was it for you to put him ahead of Glasser?

    Blanton has a talent edge over the crew but I think Lofthouse, Glasser, Manuel, Ruth, and maybe even Jordan are going be tough guys beating up on each other.
    To avoid criticism say nothing, do nothing, be nothing.

  9. #45

    Default Re: 2010/2011 Big 10 Wrestling Predictions: 165 Posted

    Quote Originally Posted by socal nittany View Post
    JensenS, Thanks for posting these...summer is very long, but November is coming.
    Let me guess... you live somewhere warm.

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