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contini · 05-19-2008, 11:04 PM

For the record, here are the popular vote counts before Tuesday according to various metrics from RealClearPolitics.com:

Popular Vote Total Obama +596,114 +1.8%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +706,336 +2.1%

Popular Vote (w/FL) Obama +301,342 +0.9%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +411,564 +1.2%

Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)** Clinton +26,967 +0.08%

Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +83,255 +0.24%

The only way Clinton leads is if Michigan and Florida are counted, where Obama was not on the ballot, and if one ignores IA, NV, ME, and WA (where they only have estimates of popular vote count). Clinton will close the popular vote gap tomorrow because Obama is ignoring Kentucky.

The caveats:

*(Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals. RealClearPolitics has estimated the popular vote totals for Senator Obama and Clinton in these four states. RCP uses the WA Caucus results from February 9 in this estimate because the Caucuses on February 9 were the “official” contest recognized by the DNC to determine delegates to the Democratic convention. The estimate from these four Caucus states where there are not official popular vote numbers increases Senator Obama’s popular vote margin by 110,224. This number would be about 50,000 less if the Washington primary results from February 19th were used instead of the Washington Caucus results.)

**(Senator Obama was not on the Michigan Ballot and thus received zero votes. Uncommitted was on the ballot and received 238,168 votes as compared to 328,309 for Senator Clinton.)

05-19-2008, 11:04 PM	#3 (permalink)
contini National Finalist Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: Sydney, Australia Posts: 906 Tournaments Joined: 0 Tournament Wins: 0	Re: Obama ignoring Kentucky For the record, here are the popular vote counts before Tuesday according to various metrics from RealClearPolitics.com: Popular Vote Total Obama +596,114 +1.8% Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +706,336 +2.1% Popular Vote (w/FL) Obama +301,342 +0.9% Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +411,564 +1.2% Popular Vote (w/FL & MI)** Clinton +26,967 +0.08% Estimate w/IA, NV, ME, WA* Obama +83,255 +0.24% The only way Clinton leads is if Michigan and Florida are counted, where Obama was not on the ballot, and if one ignores IA, NV, ME, and WA (where they only have estimates of popular vote count). Clinton will close the popular vote gap tomorrow because Obama is ignoring Kentucky. The caveats: (Iowa, Nevada, Washington & Maine Have Not Released Popular Vote Totals. RealClearPolitics has estimated the popular vote totals for Senator Obama and Clinton in these four states. RCP uses the WA Caucus results from February 9 in this estimate because the Caucuses on February 9 were the “official” contest recognized by the DNC to determine delegates to the Democratic convention. The estimate from these four Caucus states where there are not official popular vote numbers increases Senator Obama’s popular vote margin by 110,224. This number would be about 50,000 less if the Washington primary results from February 19th were used instead of the Washington Caucus results.) *(Senator Obama was not on the Michigan Ballot and thus received zero votes. Uncommitted was on the ballot and received 238,168 votes as compared to 328,309 for Senator Clinton.)